Achi news desk-
Vijay Mandge/Yogesh Pandey6 minutes ago
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In the first phase of the Lok Sabha elections, 67% voted on 6 MP seats. Last time there was an average of 75 percent voting on these 6 seats. In this context, there was around 8 percent less voting. After all, what is the point of this vote? To know this, we looked at the voting percentage trends of the last general elections.
Tried to understand from experts whether it will benefit from an increase or decrease in voting? The least polling took place in Sidhi. Only 55.19 percent voted here, which is 14 percent less than 2019. The largest voting took place in Chhindwara. In Shahdol too there was 11 percent less voting.
Doubt remains about Chhindwara due to drop in polling. The reason is that voting here has decreased by around 2.8 percent compared to 2019. In 2019, 82.39% voted here, but this time 79.59% voted.
Understand the equation of each seat
First of all, talk about Chhindwara
79 percent polling in Chhindwara has increased the suspension for the Congress and the BJP. The earlier trend shows that whenever polling has increased in Chhindwara, BJP votes have increased. This time voting has decreased by 2.8 percent.
If we look at the voting trends of the last three elections, there was 71.86 percent voting in Chhindwara in 2009, but only the Congress won here. After this, as the voting percentage increased in the 2014 and 2019 general elections, the margin of victory of the Congress decreased. In 2014, Kamal Nath of Congress won by 1 lakh 16 thousand votes. While in 2019, Nakul Nath of Congress won at least 37 thousand votes.
Political pundits are also confused about Chhindwara. They say that the way the elections have been conducted this time in Chhindwara, it is difficult to understand the results on the basis of voting alone. Senior journalist Ratnesh Jain says this is the first time the Chhindwara elections look like a national event.
There is no sympathy for Kamal Nath in the voting trend. Even in 2019, the difference between victory and defeat here was 37 thousand. Senior journalist Rakesh Prajapati says that the polling has been increasing continuously since 2004. But this time the polling has decreased by about 2.5 percent. The Congress seems to be gaining in the tribal areas of Junnardev, Pandhurna and Amarwada in Chhindwara.
Other political experts say that from the announcement of elections to the polling day, the political temperature in Chhindwara has been changing every day. Joining the Kamal Nath camp of Mayor Vikram Ahake on Polling Day has had a positive impact on the Congress.
However, people here say that the way politics has been conducted on national issues as well as local issues, has changed the mindset of the people here again and again. It is difficult to say until the end for whom the election will be beneficial.
The reason is also that the organization of the Congress in the remaining seats is not as strong as it is in the Congress. Here the emotional connection of Kamal Nath has also been beneficial for the Congress.
To understand Chhindwara, also understand the assembly wise voting trend.
All the 7 seats of Chhindwara are currently under the control of the Congress but the circumstances have changed ahead of the Lok Sabha elections. In the 2019 elections, the highest 85 percent voting took place in Amarwada. From here Nakul Nath got the maximum of 18 thousand votes. But the Congress MP from here Kamlesh Shah has now joined the BJP. Nath’s confidant Deepak Saxena from Chhindwara city has also joined the BJP.
Mandla: BJP has benefited from the increase in polling, but the votes fell this time
The number of votes in Mandla has decreased compared to 2019. There is 5 percent less voting here. Senior journalist Sudhir Upadhyay says that there is less enthusiasm among the people this time towards elections in Mandla. This was seen because he was an old candidate. On the results they say that the effect of less enthusiasm will be visible. This time the margin of victory or defeat will also be very less.
Balaghat: BSP breaks Congress votes, BJP gains
Around 73 percent voted in Balaghat. The voting pattern here is similar to the last election. Local journalists say the BJP’s vote share will remain intact here. The reason is also that Congress vote share could be shared with BSP here. The BJP can directly benefit from this. Here BJP candidate Bharti Pardhi is fighting against Samrat Singh Sarswar of Congress and Kankar Munjare of BSP.
Jabalpur: Muslim dominated East Jabalpur has the lowest voter turnout at 54%.
In Jabalpur, the voting percentage was continuously increasing since the last 3 elections, but this time according to the Electoral Commission update, 9 percent less voting is seen. Due to this, BJP’s vote share will decrease a bit, but it is not much difficult for BJP here. The Congress did not seem very strong here.
Here, the highest voting percentage of 65 percent has happened in the Sihora tribal belt. While in the Muslim Assembly dominated Jabalpur East, the lowest voting percentage was 54 percent. Local journalists also say that the reason for the decrease in the voting percentage was the boredom of the elections. It does not appear that this will have any effect on the election results.
Shahdol: 10 percent less votes, but no big loss for BJP
About 10 percent fewer votes were cast in Shahdol. Because of this, enthusiasm can be seen in Congress. But in 2019, BJP got 60 percent votes here. The polling trend here is that whenever polling has increased, BJP has directly benefited from it, this time polling has decreased, but there is no major concern for BJP. Experts say BJP’s Himadri Singh’s margin of victory could be smaller here.
Sidhi: BJP’s concern increased due to 15 percent less polling
Among the 6 Lok Sabha seats, the least voting is seen in the direct parliamentary seat. 54.36 percent of votes cast here. This is 15 percent less than 2019. The decrease in the percentage of the vote here could be a cause for concern for the BJP. Here there was a contest between Kamleshwar Patel of the Congress and Rajesh Mishra of the BJP. Discontent with the BJP candidate at the local level was also discussed here.
