Achi news desk-
The Avner Quebecois Coalition (CAQ) continues to lose ground to the Kibbutz Party (PQ) in voting intentions, according to the latest Palace Data poll, with François Legault’s party now in third place, behind the PQ and the Liberal Party (PLQ).
According to Pallas Data of Toronto, the PQ again leads in voting intentions among decided voters, at 33%, 10 points ahead of the PLQ, at 23%. The CAQ is third with 20 percent, while Quebec Solidaire (QS) has 13 percent support.
The Conservative Party (PCQ) closed the gap by 11%.
The wind blowing in the PQ’s sails shows no sign of abating. In the previous Palace poll in February, Paul St-Pierre Plamondon’s party won 31% of the vote, which means it gained two percentage points in two months.
In contrast, CAQ’s decline continues. She has lost three points since February and is struggling in the Montreal suburbs, where she made significant gains in the 2022 election.
QS is also losing ground
The surprise of the poll, however, comes from the PLQ, which came in second in voting intentions thanks to a jump of eight percentage points since February. QS is also losing ground to PQ, as evidenced by a four-point drop since February.
This Pallas Data survey, conducted on April 20 and 21 with a random sample of 1,256 respondents, was commissioned by Qc125. The margin of error for the entire sample is plus or minus 3 percent, 19 times out of 20.
Qc125 creator Philippe J. Fournier told L’actualité that these results show the extent of the challenge facing the CAQ since, in addition to the oft-cited setbacks in the Quebec City region, the party is also struggling in Greater Montreal and elsewhere in the province. .
In Greater Montreal, the CAQ received 18 percent of support, surpassing the PLQ (32 percent) and the PQ (30 percent). In the Quebec City region, it won 16 percent of support, less than the PQ (38 percent) and the PCQ (30 percent).
In the rest of Quebec, the CAQ (24 percent) came second, behind the PQ (38 percent). Despite the significant jump of the liberals (an increase of eight percentage points since February), Fournier emphasizes that “another survey will be needed before we can determine whether this is an exception.”
However, the PQ’s blunt confirmation of its intention to hold a referendum on Quebec independence by 2030, if it comes to power, may strengthen the PLQ’s support.
“However, it is important to note that the PLQ risks plateauing if it fails to increase its support in the French-speaking majority, where it only achieves 10 percent in favor according to Pallas,” Fournier wrote in the newspaper.
QS is also suffering from the rise of PQ, according to the founder of Qc125. He noted that only 65% ​​of QS voters in 2022 still support the party, while 30% have turned to the PQ.
A Lager survey was also published
Another poll, conducted by the Léger firm and published Tuesday afternoon, is much less favorable to PLQ. This puts the Liberals in third place with 15 per cent support, well behind the PQ on 34 per cent and the CAQ on 24 per cent. QS is fourth with 14 percent and PCQ fifth with 10 percent.
This poll was conducted for Le Journal de Montréal, Le Journal de Québec and TVA among 1,026 Quebecers (including 849 deciding voters) between April 19 and 21.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published in French on April 23, 2024.
