Achi news desk-
Last Updated: March 25, 2024, 5:52 PM IST
According to multiple global weather agencies, La Nina conditions – the cooling of the Pacific – may first appear in June, but are likely to be evident in August and September. (File Image/PTI)
According to predictions made by the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Center (APCC), India is likely to experience above-normal precipitation during its peak monsoon season from July to September.
Multiple weather agencies across the world have predicted the return of La Nina during the monsoon period.
The Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Center (APCC) has made the first monsoon prediction in India. The Center has published two separate forecasts – for the periods from April to June, and July to September.
Citing APCC’s predictions, s India Today The report said India is likely to experience above normal rainfall during its peak monsoon season between July and September.
The weather agency has attributed the predicted change to the recent ENSO warning which predicts a smooth transition from El Nino to La Nina conditions.
What is ENSO Alert?
The ENSO (El Nino-Southern Oscillation) warning system update was presented by the APEC Climate Center on March 15, 2024.
The current ENSO status predicts a La Nina Watch between April and September 2024.
Forecast July-September
According to multiple global weather agencies, La Nina conditions – the cooling of the Pacific – may first appear in June, but are likely to be evident in August and September.
“A higher probability of above normal precipitation is forecast for the region spanning eastern Africa to the Arabian Sea, India, the Bay of Bengal, and Indonesia, the Caribbean Sea, the tropical North Atlantic, southern Australia, and southern South Pacific Ocean. A trend for above-normal precipitation is expected for some regions in East Asia and northern Australia,” the APCC Climate Center said.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, there is an 83% chance of El Nino (Pacific warming) transitioning to neutral ENSO by April-June.
“The El Nino is gone and a cold period is coming. This raises the possibility of a good monsoon. We can rule out the chance of a dry patch in the coming monsoon season. A better picture will emerge by May,” M Rajeevan, former Secretary, Union Ministry of Earth Sciences was quoted as saying by Deccan Herald like saying
